Republicans Can't Just Rage Against The Fiscal Cliff Machine

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Encouraging Boehner to shut down the government is the surest way to end conservatism as a practical political alternative.

The GOP has no leverage in budget negotiations, and conservative denial wonā€™t change that.

Use Game Theory #

As I wrote on November 12, fighting Obama ā€“ voting down a budget in the House ā€“ results in the GOPā€™s worst possible outcome: total blame for anything that goes wrong and no credit for anything that goes right.

Obamaā€™s not an idiot, and neither are the media. Thatā€™s why Obama proposed tax increases, executive power increases, and spending increases far beyond those previously proposed.

Obama holds all the cards. #

Rush Limbaugh, Newt Gingrich, Charles Krauthammer, Mark Lewis, and Ramesh Ponnuru all see it.

Rush:Ā  Republicans should walk away from negotiations

Newt:Ā  Republicans should stop negotiating

The Hammer: Republicans should simply walk away

Lewis:Ā  Republicans Are So Screwed

Ponnuru: No win situation

The clichĆ© ā€œelections have consequencesā€ hasnā€™t gotten through some peopleā€™s heads. It will.

Expect Obama to get almost everything he demanded.

  * $1.6 Trillion tax hikeā€”the largest in world history
  * Vast new powers for the president, including the power to raise the debt ceiling (or end the ceiling)
  * Big increases in social and construction spending
  * Effective elimination of the principle that the House originates tax and spend bills

In other words, itā€™s over. The Congress is going the way of the Reichstagā€”a formalized debate society that endorses the presidentā€™s dictates.

Fixing a problem requires, first, an honest understanding of the real situation. Passing a Republican budget in the House might make YOU feel good (ā€œYeah! Boehner. Way to stick it to the man!ā€), but it wonā€™t change what happens:

  * Senate blocks
  * Obama goes on tour of 5 states hurt most by the fiscal cliff
  * Media runs 24/7 stories on the mounting ā€œRepublican Body Countā€ of Americans dying because Boehner drove the government train off the fiscal cliff
  * Panicked Republicans call on Boehner to pass the Presidentā€™s tax cuts
  * House Republicans cave
  * Obama has a beer party
  * Obamaā€™s power becomes effectively absolute.

If thatā€™s what you want, then throw your temper tantrum and enjoy the consequences.

There Is Only One Option For House Republicans #

Hereā€™s the best strategy for Boehner to follow:

  * Walk away from the negotiations
  * Tell the president the House GOP will vote ā€œPresentā€
  * Spend $2 billion over 2 years on marketing, networking, and advertising the dangers of doing what Obama just did
  * Focus on 2014

My solution might suck, but itā€™s what we, the people, voted for.

P.S. If you meet a ā€œconstitutionalistā€ or ā€œconservativeā€ who voted 3rd party, thank him for the worst-case scenario playing out before our eyes