Encouraging Boehner to shut down the government is the surest way to end conservatism as a practical political alternative.
The GOP has no leverage in budget negotiations, and conservative denial wonāt change that.
Use Game Theory #
As I wrote on November 12, fighting Obama ā voting down a budget in the House ā results in the GOPās worst possible outcome: total blame for anything that goes wrong and no credit for anything that goes right.
Obamaās not an idiot, and neither are the media. Thatās why Obama proposed tax increases, executive power increases, and spending increases far beyond those previously proposed.
Obama holds all the cards. #
Rush Limbaugh, Newt Gingrich, Charles Krauthammer, Mark Lewis, and Ramesh Ponnuru all see it.
Rush:Ā Republicans should walk away from negotiations
Newt:Ā Republicans should stop negotiating
The Hammer: Republicans should simply walk away
Lewis:Ā Republicans Are So Screwed
Ponnuru: No win situation
The clichĆ© āelections have consequencesā hasnāt gotten through some peopleās heads. It will.
Expect Obama to get almost everything he demanded.
* $1.6 Trillion tax hikeāthe largest in world history
* Vast new powers for the president, including the power to raise the debt ceiling (or end the ceiling)
* Big increases in social and construction spending
* Effective elimination of the principle that the House originates tax and spend bills
In other words, itās over. The Congress is going the way of the Reichstagāa formalized debate society that endorses the presidentās dictates.
Fixing a problem requires, first, an honest understanding of the real situation. Passing a Republican budget in the House might make YOU feel good (āYeah! Boehner. Way to stick it to the man!ā), but it wonāt change what happens:
* Senate blocks
* Obama goes on tour of 5 states hurt most by the fiscal cliff
* Media runs 24/7 stories on the mounting āRepublican Body Countā of Americans dying because Boehner drove the government train off the fiscal cliff
* Panicked Republicans call on Boehner to pass the Presidentās tax cuts
* House Republicans cave
* Obama has a beer party
* Obamaās power becomes effectively absolute.
If thatās what you want, then throw your temper tantrum and enjoy the consequences.
There Is Only One Option For House Republicans #
Hereās the best strategy for Boehner to follow:
* Walk away from the negotiations
* Tell the president the House GOP will vote āPresentā
* Spend $2 billion over 2 years on marketing, networking, and advertising the dangers of doing what Obama just did
* Focus on 2014
My solution might suck, but itās what we, the people, voted for.
P.S. If you meet a āconstitutionalistā or āconservativeā who voted 3rd party, thank him for the worst-case scenario playing out before our eyes